The ramp up of WSOP satellites could have a similar effect.
The introduction of Neteller, which allows VISA deposits at a high rate of success, could help to ease the payment processing problem.
Geo-location and payment processing should continue to improve, albeit incrementally.
The opening of the tourist season in NJ could potentially bump signups and activity.
On the negative side:
Seasonal factors will drive down participation rates in both poker and casino products.
Poker traffic is already dropping dramatically month-over-month.
The low-hanging fruit (the consumer cohort that was easiest / least expensive to reach) has already been reached. Additional customer acquisition will be more complicated and more expensive.
Land-based operators continue to appear hesitant to market online products to their full customer databases.
Liquidity sharing might become more appealing to NJ if poker decline continues
While New Jersey was conspicuously absent from the liquidity sharing agreement between Nevada and Delaware, a continued decline in poker traffic might bring about a change of heart.
New Jersey’s online poker traffic levels have been steadily dropping over the last eight weeks. And while there’s still sufficient traffic to support a variety of stakes and games, the state is drawing closer to the precarious point where online poker sites don’t have enough games to fully retain existing players or attract new ones.
Joining the agreement between Nevada and Delaware and pooling players with those two states would immediately inject a 30%+ bump into New Jersey’s player pool. The actual impact would likely be even more substantial.