That’s according to data from the latest Scouting Report – PokerScout.com’s daily analysis publication covering the global online poker industry – captured in the chart below:
One of the primary forces at work in all three markets is the weather. As PokerScout noted, “Spring has sprung, and unfortunately that means traffic is heading lower. Activity levels should decline slowly until early-mid April, at which point a steep descent begins.”
Payment processing and geolocation difficulties continue to hamper the market at large, although both likely have a more severe effect on New Jersey than Delaware and Nevada.
Finally, unregulated sites in all three states continue to siphon some level of traffic from regulated sites like Ultimate Poker and WSOP.com.
In addition to those general factors, New Jersey is faced with a few unique pressures:
Nevada is bumping up against the realities of its limited population and will need a major event – like interstate liquidity agreements or the entrance of a major casino willing to aggressively market the product – to stimulate any sort of growth.
Nevada’s recent dip may have been exacerbated by the NCAA tournament, which draws thousands to the books on the Strip (and away from their computers).
Delaware’s decline is likewise a function of its limited population.
But Delaware’s racinos have also been disinclined to promote online gambling due to the state’s unique tax structure, which reserves the first $3.75mm in annual revenue for the government’s coffers.
While all of the above works against the growth of regulated online poker, there are a number of factors on the horizon which could serve to counterbalance the declining traffic trend:
PokerScout’s Scouting Report is a daily newsletter for the online poker industry, with in-depth data and analysis of the market. More information can be found by clicking here or contacting [email protected].